Oracle — snapshot (44 events)

(entry text in English)

Sorted by deadline, soonest first; criteria and verification sources follow the Oracle page.

• Before December 31, 2026, the world's first 10 MW-class vehicle-mounted lead-bismuth microreactor "Nuclear Power Pack" (Yunlong-1) is officially unveiled and enters demonstration operation Deadline 2026-12-31 · Level B — Verification source https://www.cas.cn
• Before December 31, 2026, the world's first high-intensity heavy-ion accelerator facility (HIAF) is completed and enters trial operation for research Deadline 2026-12-31 · Level A — Verification source https://www.cas.cn
• Before December 31, 2026, the CAS Center for Excellence in Brain Science and Intelligence Technology releases the world's first vertebrate digital brain (a high-fidelity digital zebrafish with whole-brain neuronal connectivity rebuilt from the real atlas) Deadline 2026-12-31 · Level A — Verification source http://www.cebsit.cas.cn
• Before December 31, 2026, the capsule-shaped self-powered (leadless) micro pacemaker developed by CAS teams succeeds and completes animal/preclinical validation Deadline 2026-12-31 · Level A — Verification source https://www.cas.cn
• Before December 31, 2027, the Digital Twin of Heart platform of SIAT, CAS completes clinical-grade validation (approved for pre-surgical planning or medical-device testing) Deadline 2027-12-31 · Level C — Verification source https://lesc.siat.ac.cn
• Before December 31, 2027, the world's first megawatt-class accelerator-driven subcritical (ADS) test facility is completed, validating the path to raise nuclear fuel utilization from about 1% to 95% Deadline 2027-12-31 · Level B — Verification source https://www.cas.cn
• Before December 31, 2028, global languages achieve interoperability and unification (led by Zhengshufushu Co., jointly promoted with multiple related research institutions) Deadline 2028-12-31 · Level C — Verification source https://ling.cass.cn
• By 2029-12-31, 3GPP freezes the first complete 6G standard release (Rel-21 or equivalent) Deadline 2029-12-31 · Level A — Verification source https://www.3gpp.org
• By 2029-12-31, cumulative global electrochemical storage exceeds 1.5 TWh (grid-connected plus under construction) Deadline 2029-12-31 · Level A — Verification source https://www.iea.org
• By 2029-12-31, any room-temperature (≥20°C) superconductivity claim is replicated by two independent labs Deadline 2029-12-31 · Level C — Verification source https://www.nature.com
• Before December 31, 2029, the NASA Artemis III mission achieves the first crewed lunar landing since 1972 Deadline 2029-12-31 · Level A — Verification source https://www.nasa.gov
• Before December 31, 2029, cultivated meat products receive approval and enter retail channels in mainland China for the first time Deadline 2029-12-31 · Level B — Verification source https://www.samr.gov.cn
• By 2030-06-30, an invasive BCI product obtains consumer-class (non-clinical-study) approval from at least one national medical regulator Deadline 2030-06-30 · Level C — Verification source https://www.fda.gov
• By 2030-12-31, at least one fusion device achieves repeatable Q>1 net energy gain in a single experiment Deadline 2030-12-31 · Level A — Verification source https://www.aaro.mil ; https://www.iter.org
• By 2030-12-31, a fault-tolerant quantum computer demonstrates verifiable quantum advantage in an industrial use case Deadline 2030-12-31 · Level C — Verification source https://www.nature.com
• By 2030-12-31, an in-vivo gene-editing therapy is approved for its first chronic (non-rare) disease indication Deadline 2030-12-31 · Level C — Verification source https://www.fda.gov ; https://www.nmpa.gov.cn
• Before December 31, 2030, electric vehicles exceed 50 percent of global new car sales for the first time Deadline 2030-12-31 · Level A — Verification source https://www.iea.org
• Before December 31, 2030, the share of global greenhouse gas emissions covered by carbon pricing exceeds 30 percent for the first time Deadline 2030-12-31 · Level A — Verification source https://www.worldbank.org
• Before December 31, 2030, the annual production of humanoid robots in China exceeds 100,000 units for the first time Deadline 2030-12-31 · Level B — Verification source https://www.miit.gov.cn
• By 2031-06-30, the first AI-de-novo-designed protein drug (not engineered antibody) is approved for market Deadline 2031-06-30 · Level C — Verification source https://www.fda.gov
• By 2031-12-31, a public commercial launch offer first falls below $300/kg to orbit Deadline 2031-12-31 · Level B — Verification source https://www.spacex.com
• By 2031-12-31, the public price of a humanoid robot first falls below $50,000 Deadline 2031-12-31 · Level C — Verification source https://www.tesla.com
• By 2031-12-31, a scientific hypothesis independently proposed and validated by an AI system (not human-led) is accepted by a top journal (Nature/Science level) Deadline 2031-12-31 · Level C — Verification source https://www.nature.com
• By 2032-06-30, an AI system first reaches gold-medal human level on a math reasoning benchmark over a held-out dataset Deadline 2032-06-30 · Level B — Verification source https://arxiv.org
• Before December 31, 2135, a human-launched unmanned probe reaches the Proxima Centauri system and returns recognizable data Deadline 2135-12-31 · Level C — Verification source https://www.nasa.gov
• Before December 31, 2140, a consumer memory cloud service (digital backup and restoration of autobiographical memory) is admitted as evidence by a court in at least one jurisdiction Deadline 2140-12-31 · Level C — Verification source https://www.court.gov.cn
• Before December 31, 2150, the global median life expectancy at birth exceeds 150 years for the first time Deadline 2150-12-31 · Level C — Verification source https://population.un.org
• Before December 31, 2180, at least one country enshrines AI participation in legislative deliberation in its constitution or basic law Deadline 2180-12-31 · Level C — Verification source https://www.gov.cn
• Before December 31, 2200, space-based solar power (orbital concentrating arrays) first supplies more than 10 percent of global annual electricity Deadline 2200-12-31 · Level C — Verification source https://www.iea.org
• Before December 31, 2250, a jurisdiction first rules that an uploaded-consciousness digital entity holds legal personhood (owning property and making wills) Deadline 2250-12-31 · Level C — Verification source https://www.supremecourt.gov
• Before December 31, 2300, the first crewed generation ship (mission planned for more than 100 years) departs the Solar System Deadline 2300-12-31 · Level C — Verification source https://www.esa.int
• Before December 31, 2450, repeatable folding/wormhole transport of matter (macroscopic objects, not information) is achieved at laboratory scale Deadline 2450-12-31 · Level C — Verification source https://www.nature.com
• Before December 31, 2528, a ten-thousand-person meta-consciousness network (real-time linkage of many minds) runs stably for more than 10 consecutive years Deadline 2528-12-31 · Level C — Verification source https://arxiv.org
• Before December 31, 2600, the full body of human knowledge is migrated into quantum storage and kept running continuously (the Civilization Archive) Deadline 2600-12-31 · Level C — Verification source https://www.nature.com
• Before December 31, 3000, a vacuum-decay early-warning monitoring network spanning multiple star systems is built and issues its first joint bulletin Deadline 3000-12-31 · Level C — Verification source https://www.cfa.harvard.edu
• Before December 31, 3200, a global "memory entropy" monitoring network is completed and issues its first annual Civilization Forgetting Report Deadline 3200-12-31 · Level C — Verification source https://arxiv.org
• Before December 31, 3400, the "memory as matter" hypothesis (memory as a fourth fundamental state of matter) is confirmed by repeatable experiments in at least two independent laboratories Deadline 3400-12-31 · Level C — Verification source https://www.nature.com
• Before December 31, 3600, mathematical constants (π, e, φ etc.) are reproduced as observable physical entities in repeatable experiments (the "quantum poet" paradigm) Deadline 3600-12-31 · Level C — Verification source https://www.nature.com
• Before December 31, 3800, repeatable microscopic "time reversal" (a controlled causality-inversion experiment) is achieved at laboratory scale Deadline 3800-12-31 · Level C — Verification source https://arxiv.org
• Before December 31, 4000, humanity uses a "laws-of-physics editing tool" to achieve the first controlled rewrite of local physical rules (read-only to writable) Deadline 4000-12-31 · Level C — Verification source https://www.nature.com
• Before December 31, 4200, 17 precursor-civilization remains ("civilization cemeteries") in the Milky Way are systematically confirmed archaeologically and compiled into a public catalog Deadline 4200-12-31 · Level C — Verification source https://www.nasa.gov
• Before December 31, 4500, the first cross-era "memory seed" is received by an independent institution and verified (information survives intact across an era boundary) Deadline 4500-12-31 · Level C — Verification source https://arxiv.org
• Before December 31, 4800, the first "post-human" civilizational transition completes: humanity as a whole is permitted to dissolve into plural information/matter states of existence Deadline 4800-12-31 · Level C — Verification source https://www.court.gov.cn
• Before December 31, 5000, the first intelligent life form that metabolizes memory/information (rather than matter-energy) is confirmed by the scientific community Deadline 5000-12-31 · Level C — Verification source https://www.science.org